Monday, February 7, 2011

sensex

sensex has corrected quite significantly ,which begets the question: has a medium term downtrend begun?i have been asked this most over the last one month or so
perhaps a C wave has begun ?

i have been off markets for last 45 days or more.so havenot looked at charts..
i am looking to get back to markets soon though not decided the time as yet since budget period is not the prettiest trading period.
further nifty is at levels where there has to be a bounce since 5350 levels shouldnot break in one or two go's.

but the day LIC HSG Fin and SBI's of the world reacted the way they did,it became very clear that banking index and financials which have really lead the way willnot do so anymore and rotation is now in order.LIC has almost halved from the peak price , which doesnot ordinarily happen in small corrective pattens..

so i will make an analysis maybe this weekend or arnd that time.

but whatever wave it is , the lows of the bear market will not be broken. sensex 14000 is just about the floor. so one shouldnot get overly excited about the C wave devastation!!

i ll post more accurate levels once i review the charts.

1 comment:

  1. Vipul: Left this comment for you on yelnick

    You were on target not just in S&P, but also in Crude, Gold & Nifty. And in couple of cases totally opposite of Neely whose methods you follow...

    So pls
    (a) do write more on your blog
    (b) do mention the neowave logic for the benefit of novices and
    (c) be conscious of the Yelnick effect as above and always look out for points of non-confirmation

    Cheers

    ReplyDelete